Armenia: the Factor of Regional Stability Amidst US-Russia/Iran Tensions

By Grigor Hakobyan

Summary:

The visit of American National Security Advisor, John Bolton to Russia, Georgia, Azerbaijan and Armenia more than a week ago has caused a wave of political commentary in host countries ranging from hostile (in Russia) to cautious (Armenia and Azerbaijan). As expected, Bolton has articulated American position on a range of geopolitical issues where the interests of both super powers are found to be in contradiction across the Eurasian continent. Among everything that was said and done, Bolton’s comments made in Yerevan about the possibility of selling weapons to Armenia and urging Pashinyan’s government to change country’s “historical patterns” probably caused the most steer in the region, especially in Armenia and the Armenian diaspora.

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Armenia: Geopolitical Analysis

By Grigor Hakobyan

Summary:

The spring and summer of 2018 was very heated, full of somewhat unexpected results. In the meantime, existential threats against Armenia’s national security are mounting while Armenia’s foreign policy remains unclear and very confusing for foreign observers leading to misunderstanding and undue stress in interstate relations both with Russia and the countries of the West. Subsequently, a number of steps outlined below must be taken to clearly formulate Armenia’s foreign policy, identify geopolitical priorities and to strengthen Armenia’s national security for the foreseeable future.

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Artsakh-Nakhijevan: Making the Case for Preemptive Strike

By Grigor Hakobyan

7/02/18

Summary:

Since April of 2018, under the guise of conducting military exercises Azerbaijan has accumulated a very large number of military personnel and hardware on two different fronts surrounding the Armenian heartland thus posing a clear and present danger to the survival of the Armenian nation and the security of its statehood. Accumulations of military personnel and hardware along both LOCs in Nakhijevan and Artsakh has been accompanied with rapid acquisitions of new military hardware from a number of countries such Israel, Turkey, Pakistan and so-called military “allies” of Armenia, members of CSTO: Russia, Kazakhstan and Belarus. As the experience of the Four Day War has shown, instead of waiting for a devastating onslaught that can happen at any moment, the security situation on the ground is calling for a proactive defense strategy. Proactive defense entails carrying out a number of devastating preemptive strikes against Azerbaijani military accumulations along the borders of Armenia (Nakhichevan) and Artsakh to effectively degrade and destroy their military capabilities in an effort to prevent or postpone the resumption of large scale Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict in the region.

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Armenia-Diaspora: Pros and Cons of Trans-Armenian Government

By Grigor Hakobyan

Summary

With recent political changes in Armenia associated with the election of Nikol Pashinyan as the new Prime Minister and the formation of a new Cabinet of Ministers of Armenia an idea voiced in diaspora for many years before has been included in the agenda of the new government. This idea entails giving political representation to Armenian diaspora in the government of Armenia. For this concept to work elections of deputies in Armenian communities abroad covering more than eighty countries around the world will be required to carry out. Implementing this idea will require changes to the Constitution of the Republic of Armenia and reorganization of Armenian community structures to a higher level of organization and complexity that at the same time will not contradict the laws and constitutions of host countries where diasporan Armenians reside.

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